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Sunday, August 15, 2010

Weekly Senate Polls-Week III



This was a rough week for Democrats. Starting with the swing state of Ohio. Democratic Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher has fallen under 40% against former Bush advisor Rob Portman; until now, these two were in a very close race and trading leads. Portman has built a four-poll winning streak and now aggregately leads Fisher by six points, 44-38%. Throughout the summer, Fisher had been posting very slight leads of 1-2 points, however, Portman has pulled ahead and has been leading by more solid margins. Ohio now moves out of the tossup category.

In Illinois, another close race, Republican Mark Kirk is running exactly even with Democrat Alexi Giannoulias; The last poll had the two tied at 40%. Thus, this new poll constitutes a tossup.

Ultimately, no races are moving more towards the Democratic side.

Changes from Week II:
[IL] Slight D -> Tossup
[OH] Tossup -> Slight R
[KY] Slight R -> Lean R

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